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Deep DiveJun 5, 2026

The Private Credit Bubble Nobody Wants to Name

Everyone's piling into private credit. We've seen this movie before.

Editor in Chief


$1.7 trillion. That's the size of the private credit market today. It was $250 billion a decade ago.

The pitch is irresistible: equity-like returns, bond-like volatility. The reality is that illiquidity is not the same as low volatility — it just hides it.

What changes the story

  1. A real default cycle
  2. LPs trying to redeem at the same time
  3. A blown-up BDC making the front page

We're still early. But we're not that early.